Shrimp disease holds down CPF's 9-month results

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 11, 2013
Shrimp disease holds down CPF's 9-month results

Charoen Pokphand Foods' nine-month financial performance is off target, said chief executive officer Adirek Sripatak, mainly because of a disease that could cut its shrimp supply by half this year.

“The effect of EMS on Thailand’s shrimp industry and CPF’s shrimp business was more severe than expected. Moreover, the recovery of the shrimp industry has been hampered by higher shrimp prices due to less supply in the market, which affected the cost of shrimp processing. It is estimated that shrimp supply will decline about 50 per cent this year,” he said in a statement.
EMS, or early mortality syndrome, is a lethal disease affecting farmed shrimp.
In the third quarter, the company showed a 10-per-cent increase in net profit year on year to Bt2.65 billion, pushing nine-month earnings to Bt5.3 billion. 
Sales in the quarter rose 8 per cent to Bt105.3 billion, pushing nine-month sales revenue to Bt285.89 billion.
Last year, CPF’s sales revenue stood at Bt378.99 billion while net profit was Bt18.8 billion.
In the statement, CPF said its research and development team had been dedicated to study farming techniques to help bring the shrimp survival rate back to normal, and it had disseminated such knowledge to farmers. It now is seeing farmers return to operations. 
“The shrimp supply is expected to increase in the first quarter of 2014 and CPF expects its shrimp business to return to normal next year,” Adirek said. 
The company expects better operating results in the second half of 2013 and a gradual improvement in 2014.
The third-quarter results improved over the previous quarter, mainly as a result of a recovery of broiler and swine prices in the domestic market from last year, when prices plunged below production costs because of oversupply. 
The quarterly profit of Bt2.65 billion is better than Bualuang Securities expected, as it had forecast Bt2.47 billion based on an estimated loss of Bt1 billion to Bt1.5 billion from the shrimp operation. In a research note, it said the quarterly profit would be low because of weaker shrimp and overseas operations (specifically Turkey, Russia, Malaysia, the Philippines and Vietnam) and a lower equity contribution from CP All. 
In a research note last month, Asia Plus Securities said it might lower its forecast of CPF’s 2013-14 net profit, as the shrimp business had recovered more slowly than expected. However, it noted that profit from livestock business would still be high, despite a decrease in the prices of pork and chicken since September, because there was more product in the market as producers increased capacity to compensate for Saha Farm’s troubles. 
In any case, this would not put much pressure on CPF, as the cost of feed-mill raw materials has also decreased. Asia Plus expects CPF’s profit to remain healthy.