
Trump signed an order late last week that his promises will stop “foreign importers that cheat”. Under the executive order, countries with large trade imbalances with the United States will be closely scrutinised for a 90-day period while the administration holds talks with manufacturers, service providers, farmers and consumers to identify ongoing problems.
Among the Asian economies singled out by Trump as the largest abusers of free trade were mainland China, Japan, Thailand, South Korea, Malaysia, India, Taiwan and Indonesia. “They’re cheaters! From now on, those who break the rules will face the consequences and they’ll be very severe consequences,” the president said.
Trump is due to meet Chinese President Xi Jinping this week at his Florida estate. Trump has long singled out China as a country that has taken the most advantage of trade loopholes, so his trade agenda will likely be a major talking point, along with North Korea and the fight against extremism.
Uncertainty in region
But for the rest of Asia, Trump’s trade order has officials baffled and unsure of what steps to take. Some have chosen to ignore the executive order altogether, while others have blasted the move and said it would affect US companies operating in Asia.
In Indonesia, Coordinating Economic Minister Darmin Nasution said his country had nothing to worry about regarding the order because it exported commodities and manufactured goods to the US that did not compete with those produced in that country.
“What we produce are not goods that compete with theirs, not like those from China. [The US] might think that the things they import are goods that beat out their own products, but the products from Indonesia are not the same as they make,” he said.
Malaysian International Trade and Industry Minister Ong Ka Chuan said his country was neither responsible for nor taking advantage of the United States’ trade deficit.
“Perhaps US President Donald Trump does not know there is a huge presence of American manufacturers in Malaysia such as Intel and Western Digital due to the low production cost here,” he said. Ong added that US companies based in Malaysia would be affected if the Trump administration were to punish the country for its low production costs.
“If Trump were to punish us for this, the American firms [would] be the ones dealt a severe blow,” he said.
Meanwhile senior officials from Thailand and the United States held a meeting in Bangkok on Monday to discuss the executive order, said Commerce Minister Apiradi Tantraporn.
Apiradi said problems between Thailand and the United States could be thrashed out in ongoing negotiations on the Trade and Investment Framework Agreement.
But exporters in Thailand continued to express concerns that protectionism by the United States could threaten their business.
“What concerned me the most is that the image of Thai products in the US market could be tarnished in the eyes of consumers, should they be misled into believing that Thai traders cheat their counterparts,” said Nopporn Thepsitha, president of the Thai National Shippers’ Council.
Nopporn added that all businesses and trade groups should be prepared to review their policies regarding exports to the United States.
The way forward
Speaking at an Asean summit in the Philippines, Meghnad Desai, a professor of the London School of Economics and Political Science, said Trump’s protectionist policy might have shaken the world, but eventually he would need to work with economic players.
“Nobody can control an economy as large as America,” Baron Desai said.
Danny Quah, a professor at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy at the National University of Singapore, added that Asia believed in a world full of win-win propositions. This narrative should be shared to Trump.
“Trump thinks that America is losing because Asia is winning. We need to tell him of this win-win proposition,” said.