IRRI attributes the looming crisis to the strong El Niño and the overall trend of climate change.
“Combined with lower stocks in a few key countries, emerging patterns in regional and global grain supply threaten the repeat of the painful rice price crisis in 2007-2008,” the Laguna-based institute said.
“To address such a crisis at a maximum impact, joint action is needed among countries, particularly the Asean+3 and India—recogniSing shared responsibility as well as shared investment—and a regional trade outlook,” it added.
Asean+3 refers to the trading bloc that include the 10 members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations — the Philippines, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Singapore, Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar and Vietnam — and Asean’s three nearest dialog partners (China, Japan and South Korea).
IRRI noted that the 2007-2008 price crisis prompted the Asean to craft a regional integrated food security framework along with a strategic plan of action.
This in turn led to the setting up of the Asean+3 Emergency Rice Reserve (Apterr) in 2012, aimed at ensuring the long-term food security and livelihood of the people in the East Asian region .
“(However, Apterr’s) organization has been quite delayed and its feasibility yet to be tested by a major challenge,” IRRI said.
The institute added that beyond the framework and the plan, “much more needs to be done, and regional cooperation will be essential to manage a food crisis.”