
While we believe that PTTEP is likely to emerge as the winner, the deal would entail a capital increase which would put downside on its share price. We maintain our Underperform rating and target price basis of 25% discount to its DCF value (WACC 11%) given the risk of capital-raising.
What Happened
On Friday 13 July, the UK Takeover panel decided to end the protracted Cove acquisition by issuing a rule that effectively forces the two bidders, PTTEP and Shell, to revise their bids
by 17 July. If neither party revised its bid, the bidding process would close and Cove