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Stagnant sales and price drops of up to 13% hit the capital’s outskirts as experts warn against overpriced developments and poor infrastructure links.
Industry experts have issued a stark warning to homebuyers and property investors to exercise extreme caution in several "high-risk" districts across Bangkok and its surrounding provinces.
A new report reveals that many suburban developments are currently "dangerously overpriced" or fundamentally mismatched with local demand.
Data from Dr Sopon Pornchokchai, president of the Agency for Real Estate Affairs (AREA), suggests that the primary catalysts for this slump are stagnant sales and sharp price corrections.
While the city centre remains resilient, the "endless sprawl" of the northern and eastern outskirts has led to a glut of properties that are failing to attract buyers.
The ‘Infrastructure Gap’
The report highlights a growing trend of developers pushing further into the suburbs to take advantage of lower land costs.
However, these savings are rarely passed on to the consumer. Instead, many projects are being launched at premium price points despite a lack of public transport, utilities, and proximity to employment hubs.
"Buyers should be wary of these locations," the report advises. "Purchasing in these areas may result in stagnant capital growth and a quality of life that fails to meet expectations."
Regional Breakdown: The Worst Performers
The analysis identified several specific segments that have seen almost zero sales activity over the past 12 months:
The Northern Corridor: In Navanakorn and Khlong Luang, detached houses and semi-detached units priced between 5 and 10 million baht ($147,000–$294,000) have completely stalled. Experts suggest developers have misjudged the market, as local residents overwhelmingly prefer affordable townhouses.
Eastern Slump: In Chalong Krung, prices for detached houses have plummeted by 13.6% in just one year, a clear indicator of initial overvaluation. Similarly, in Srinakarin-Udomsuk, an oversupply of condominiums from major listed firms has forced prices down by 12.4%.
The Obsolescence of Land Plots: Subdivided land in the Bang Na-Trad area (KM 10–30) has become a "dead zone" for investors. High prices combined with a reluctance from banks to provide land-only mortgages have brought sales to a standstill.
The Thonburi Resilience
In a notable contrast, the report found no cause for concern on the Thonburi side of the Chao Phraya River.
Proximity to the city centre continues to support demand on the West Bank.
Analysts suggest that while crossing the river was once a barrier, it is now a minor inconvenience compared to the gruelling commutes faced by those living in the far-flung eastern suburbs.
Ultimately, the message for 2026 is clear: for a property to be a viable investment, it must offer more than just a lower price tag—it must offer connectivity and a realistic valuation that reflects the local economy.