Suan Dusit Poll predicts People’s Party to win most seats, at 165 MPs
Suandusit Poll projects the People’s Party to win 165 of 500 MP seats, ahead of Bhumjaithai (130) and Pheu Thai (115), in Thailand’s 2026 election
Suan Dusit Poll has released survey findings projecting the likely number of MP seats from Thailand’s 2026 general election.
The People’s Party is predicted to win the most seats, at 165 out of 500.
The next parties projected to win the most seats are Bhumjaithai with 130 seats and Pheu Thai with 115.
On February 8, 2026, following the opening of polling stations for the general election of Members of Parliament (MPs) and the constitutional referendum at 8.00am, Thai voters nationwide steadily turned out to cast their ballots throughout the day. Polling closed smoothly at 5.00pm.
Suandusit Poll announced the results of a nationwide public opinion survey and assessed trends in the distribution of MP seats for the 2026 general election. The poll presented projected seat shares for each political party out of a total of 500 MPs.
Dr Pornpan Buathong, President of Suandusit Poll, said the projected number of MP seats for the February 8, 2026 general election was derived from both quantitative and qualitative analysis.
The quantitative data came from a nationwide survey conducted between January 16–28, 2026, with a sample of 26,621 respondents (margin of error ±10%).
The qualitative data was drawn from interviews and contextual analysis of the political situation in the run-up to the election.
Projected MP seats by party (out of 500):
- People’s Party: 165
- Bhumjaithai Party: 130
- Pheu Thai Party: 115
- Democrat Party: 45
- Kla Tham Party: 35
- Others: 10
- Total: 500
Note: This projection is an assessment of trends based on the opinion survey and is not the official election result.
